CUBA NEWS
January 30, 2007
 

Castro Death Watch Stimulates Cuba Fund

Christina Wise, Investor's Business Daily, January 19, 2007.

Fidel Castro's sudden illness last summer focused the world's attention on the island nation, Herzfeld Caribbean Basin has long been interested in the region.

The Miami-based, closed-end mutual fund (NASDAQ:CUBA - News), which was founded in 1994, invests in companies doing business in the Caribbean basin as well as in those poised to do business with Cuba if the U.S. trade embargo is lifted.

"Two-thirds of the (stocks in the) portfolio were picked with two ideas," said Thomas J. Herzfeld, the fund's portfolio manager and chairman and president of Thomas J. Herzfeld & Co. "One, companies that would do well if there were no changes in Cuba -- and they have -- and two, companies that would benefit strongly from resumption of trade with Cuba."

Through Thursday's close, Herzfeld's share price had more than doubled in just six months.

Fixed Shares

Herzfeld Caribbean is a closed-end fund, which is a mutual fund that trades like a stock. It has a fixed number of shares, and since investors can't redeem shares like open-end funds, it's an ideal vehicle for investing in emerging economies.

"Closed-end funds, dating back to the 1800s, are the best way to invest in an emerging market where there's a thin or no (stock) exchange," Herzfeld said. "The reason for that is that with mutual funds, they have to take in new money and give it back at the whims of shareholders."

But he also cautions that no one knows when the U.S.-Cuba trade embargo will disappear.

"The fact that Castro dies doesn't mean the embargo is going to be lifted automatically," Herzfeld said.

Herzfeld Caribbean's largest holding, which accounts for nearly 16% of its portfolio, is Florida East Coast Industries (NYSE:FLA - News). The stock hit an all-time high in mid-December and has since pulled back to its 10-week moving average line.

Railroad

Florida East Coast develops commercial and industrial real estate and operates railroads in Florida.

"It operates the main freight line that runs between Jacksonville, Florida, and Miami," Herzfeld said. "We believe a large portion of the freight going to Cuba will run up and down the east coast of Florida. The railroad gauge is the same (in Cuba) as here."

The fund's fourth-largest holding,Seaboard (AMEX:SEB - News), ventured into new-high territory last week.

"Here's an example of a company doing very well now and will continue to do very well once the embargo is lifted," Herzfeld said. "They operate the largest fleet of containerships in the Caribbean and also are in the food business. We started buying SEB very early in the fund's life at about $200 a share."

Other stocks in the fund include Copa Holdings (NYSE:CPA - News). The Panama-based airline flew out of a base in mid-August and through Thursday had climbed 125%.

Copyright 2007 Investor's Business Daily, Inc.

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