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February 23, 2007

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Defecting Cuban boxers denied entry

By Frank Bajak, Associated Press Writer. February 21, 2007.

BOGOTA, Colombia - Three Olympic champion Cuban boxers who defected and signed seven-figure contracts with a German promoter have been refused entry to the United States, their manager said Wednesday.

Heavyweight Odlanier Solis, flyweight Yan Bhartelemy and featherweight Yuriorkis Gamboa were to have made their pro debuts in Miami on Friday night, but the fights were postponed a week, said Antonio Gonzalez, the Miami-based manager and attorney.

He said the U.S. Department of Homeland Security approved entry for the three but consular officials at the embassy in Colombia, which the three entered from bordering Venezuela in late December, wouldn't grant them visas.

"The State Department still sees it as them wanting to stay in the States, which at this point would be career suicide for them," Gonzalez said by telephone from Miami.

He said the Bogota embassy wants proof the three boxers, who won gold medals in the 2004 Athens Games, have permanent residence but so far they lack German visas.

"They have bank accounts in Hamburg, Germany. They have an actual address in Hamburg where they'll be living," Gonzalez said. "The first part of the contract is their debut would be in Miami for obvious reasons."

Embassy spokeswoman Suzanne Hall said the State Department does not comment on individual cases.

Gonzalez said each of the three fighters had signed seven-figure, three-year contracts with Hamburg-based First Artist and Arena with an option for two more years. That doesn't count purses.

All three were training with the Cuban national team in Venezuela when they defected to Colombia, which granted them temporary visas, said Irichelle Duran, daughter of the boxer Roberto Duran, who works with Gonzalez.

Niece: Castro in 'stupendous' condition

By E. Eduardo Castillo, Associated Press Writer, Feb 18, 2007.

HAVANA - Fidel Castro's niece said Sunday he was recovering well from surgery and would likely be "very active" again in Cuba's government.

"Fidel is stupendous," said Mariela Castro Espin, daughter of acting President Raul Castro, who took over in July after his older brother underwent surgery.

Fidel Castro, 80, has disappeared from view since temporarily ceding power to his younger brother, aside from occasional videotaped meetings with foreign visitors.

The most recent showed a Jan. 29 meeting with Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez in which the Cuban leader seemed noticeably stronger and less haggard than in earlier images.

The videotape eased speculation fed by a Jan. 16 report in the Spanish newspaper El Pais that described Castro as being in "very grave" condition after three failed operations. Cuban officials have not given details of his illness.

It has not been clear if Castro would eventually return to power fully or would leave the government in the hands of colleagues. There have been no visible signs of unrest or major policy changes since he stepped aside.

"One way or the other he is going to be present and very active," said Castro Espin, who attended the dedication of a book of collected speeches and interviews by her mother Vilma Espin, a veteran of the revolution led by Castro.

Castro Espin, who heads the National Center for Sex Education, said she had not seen her uncle in recent days, but had spoken with "many people to be able to have information from different points of view" about his condition.

"I know that he is very well, that he is recovering very well," she said. Castro "is recuperating as a man of 80 years should recuperate."

Cuban Parliament Speaker Ricardo Alarcon made similar comments for Sunday's edition of the Spanish newspaper La Vanguardia.

Alarcon was quoted as saying he had spoken with Fidel Castro several times by phone and that the Cuban leader was closely following events.

"I'm confident that he will not only continue leading, as he is now, on fundamental topics, but that we will see him more closely," Alarcon said.

He added that "it would be natural to expect that things would be like before" but without Castro spending "so many hours making appearances and visits."

U.S. expects change after Fidel's death

By George Gedda, Associated Press Writer. February 17, 2007.

WASHINGTON - The Bush administration remains hopeful that the death of Fidel Castro will unleash grass-roots pressure among Cubans for democratic change - but many analysts see little threat to the regime under the thus-far seamless succession of brother Raul.

As U.S. officials see it, the seismic political event for Cuba has yet to come.

"We don't feel that we've lost an important moment, because quite frankly, we don't see any significant possibility of change of any kind until Fidel is gone," Tom Shannon, the top State Department aide for Latin America, says.

Intestinal surgery last July led to the transfer of power from Fidel, 80, to Raul, 75. U.S. intelligence agencies do not expect the elder Castro to live long but his two brothers, Raul and Ramon, insist he is recovering.

U.S. presidents have been waiting for decades for Fidel to die and to take his communist project to his grave.

President Bush, who has especially close ties to the anti-Castro Cuban-American community, has tried to hasten a democratic transition by tightening the embargo against the island.

But many observers say the post-Fidel era has begun - with Raul Castro clearly in control.

Lt. Gen. Michael Maples, head of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said last month that Raul Castro has the "widespread respect and support" of military commanders, whose backing he believes will be crucial in the succession process.

He said Raul Castro should be able to fend off any move to depose him "at least for the short term."

Brian Latell, a former top Cuba analyst at the CIA, agrees and says Raul Castro has been acting more boldly than expected, encouraging debate among Cubans and calling on university students to "fearlessly" discuss the country's problems.

A majority of people in the U.S., 54 percent, said it is unlikely that Fidel Castro's regime will be replaced with a democracy once he is gone, according to an AP-Ipsos poll taken a couple of weeks ago.

There is little evidence of pro-democracy ferment in Cuba. The answer to whether that reflects fear or contentment on the island depends on whom one asks. One visible indication of unrest is the single word that appears on occasional street signs: "Cambio" ("Change").

Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart (news, bio, voting record), a Cuban-born Florida Republican, says the calm under Raul is illusory.

"The regime of Fidel Castro is not viable without Fidel Castro," he says. "A transition to democracy in Cuba is inevitable, but Fidel Castro needs to die for the future of Cuba to begin."

Frank Calzon, executive director of the Center for a Free Cuba, says there will be "an explosion of expectations" among Cubans for a better life once Fidel dies. As the regime "is unable to meet these aspirations, the likelihood of instability will increase."

But Wayne Smith, a former diplomat and an advocate of resuming ties with Cuba, sees continuity in Havana under Raul Castro.

Myles Frechette, once dismissed by Cuba as a "troglodyte" in his days as a U.S. diplomat, offers the same assessment. Raul, he says, possesses the necessary "ruthlessness" to put down would-be foes.

The administration has elaborate plans for food deliveries to Cuba and other emergency relief in the event of unrest. Plans also are in place to counter possible mass migration from Cuba. A full-scale exercise, replete with role-playing by mock migrants landing on U.S. shores, is set for south Florida next month.

A key element of the administration's regime change strategy is to deny resources to Cuba through travel restrictions and other measures. A presidential report issued three weeks before Castro fell ill says, "The more financially stressed the system is, the more difficult it will be for any leader who follows Fidel Castro to preside over a succession within the dictatorship."

But Raul Castro's ability to retain control has been bolstered by steep discounts on oil sales to Cuba by Venezuela's pro-Castro President Hugo Chavez. The annual savings for Cuba, according to U.S. estimates: $800 million. Julia Sweig of the Council on Foreign Relations says the handoff from Fidel to Raul has been "notably smooth and stable - not one violent episode in Cuban streets."

The Bush administration is disappointed that Latin American democracies have not been pressing for democratic change in Cuba. Many apparently are reluctant to be seen as doing U.S. bidding. Cuba has also fostered good relations with hemispheric neighbors by sending countless doctors to work in underserved communities.

Cuba, meanwhile, is keeping a wary eye on Florida-based exile groups. Officials warn of an attempt by Miami Cubans to reclaim the homes they left behind, forcing current occupants into the street.

They are also on guard against a possible power grab by what it sees as an "annexationist" U.S. administration. Bush has said, though, that any new leadership for Cuba should come from within the island, not from south Florida.

On the Net:

CIA World Factbook on Cuba

State Department background on Cuba

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