CUBA NEWS
December 22, 2003

CUBA NEWS
The Miami Herald

Castro, Chávez to discuss health, education aid

Posted on Mon, Dec. 22, 2003.

CARACAS - (AP) -- Cuban leader Fidel Castro and Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez will meet briefly in Caracas today to discuss growing cooperation between their countries on healthcare and education for the poor, Chávez said Sunday.

Chávez said that he and Castro would have lunch together and that the Cuban leader would return to Havana later in the day.

The two presidents plan to discuss a program that has brought more than 10,000 Cuban doctors to poor Venezuelan communities and a Venezuelan literacy program inspired by Cuban methods.

Chávez said they would also review a pact to sell 53,000 barrels of oil a day to Cuba under preferential financial terms.

During his weekly television and radio show last week, Chávez publicly invited Castro to visit as the two leaders chatted briefly on the airwaves. Castro had promised to try to make the time.

''Fidel Castro accepted the invitation, and he arrives tomorrow in Venezuela,'' Chávez said during his show Sunday. ``Today the Cuban and Venezuelan people are united like one people, working together for social justice.''

It will be Castro's fourth visit to Venezuela since Chávez took office in 1999. The two leaders have developed a strong friendship and political allegiance rooted in their conviction that free-market policies have failed to lift millions of Latin Americans from poverty.

Their friendship has at times antagonized the United States, the biggest importer of Venezuelan oil.

Castro, man of fewer words

A review of Cuban and U.S. government databases shows that Castro's speeches dropped to 19 so far this year, compared with 37 in all of last year.

By Nancy San Martin, nsanmartin@herald.com Posted on Sat, Dec. 20, 2003 .

Even as Cuban President Fidel Castro continues to maintain a hectic schedule of public appearances, he has scaled back significantly on his speechmaking, indicating that the 77-year-old is slowing down.

A review of Cuban and U.S. government databases shows that Castro's speeches dropped to 19 so far this year, compared with 37 in all of last year, when he was often on the podium demanding the release of five Cuban spies sentenced that year in a Miami courtroom to long prison terms.

If the records are accurate, the 19 speeches through Friday would be the lowest number of Castro addresses in each of the last five years.

''That is highly suggestive that something is not right, but that's all it is,'' said Mark Falcoff, a Cuba expert and author of the book Cuba, The Morning After.

Like Falcoff, most analysts hesitate to make any definitive conclusions on what the decline in speechmaking could mean. But several said the drop, coupled with an increase in the number of occasions in which he only appears in public and does not deliver a speech, seems to support theories that Castro is not as politically engaged as in previous years.

CAN'T BE REACHED

Officials at the Cuban Interests Section in Washington could not be reached for comment.

So far this year, Castro has made 22 public appearances in which he did not give an address, compared with 11 last year and only 8 in 1999, according to the Cuban and U.S. government records.

''It's much less strenuous to appear in public than to speak,'' said Falcoff, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington. "He's been cutting back for some time now.''

''The explanation could be just that his physical ability is declining,'' said Brian Latell, a retired CIA top analyst on Cuba and Castro. "There is definitely a noticeable decline in his physical appearance. He's shuffling rather than striding.''

QUESTION REMAINS

''The question is, is he suffering from health or is this the way most 77-year-olds act?'' added Latell, who now oversees the Central America and Caribbean program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

Rumors that Castro and his younger brother Raúl, Cuba's defense minister, suffer from poor health surface regularly in Cuba and South Florida, often prompted by periodic lapses in public appearances.

Foreign analysts have often said Castro appears to be deteriorating not only physically, but also mentally. He has been known to lose his train of thought periodically while speaking publicly and has sometimes slurred his words. His behavior this year has been viewed by many as particularly extreme, with a March crackdown against 75 dissidents and ongoing harsh verbal attacks against the European Union.

Word that Raúl suffered from colon cancer spread recently after a long absence from the public eye and his failure to show up at ceremonies marking Armed Forces Day on Dec. 2.

A week later, he met with foreign correspondents in Cuba and joked about the rumors.

NOT UNNOTICED

The elder Castro also has used humor to dispel rumors of his pending death. Still, his prolonged absences do not go unnoticed in Cuba or the United States.

In a Nov. 25 report, the U.S. government's Foreign Broadcast Information Service (FBIS) noted that Castro appeared in public eight times in the two months between Sept. 1 and Nov. 3 -- including four separate seven-day gaps and other gaps of 11, 20, even 33 days.

FBIS, an agency that monitors and translates foreign broadcasts on behalf of the U.S. intelligence community, also noted the Cuban media is no longer slavishly publishing or broadcasting Castro's full speeches.

''Cuban broadcast and print news media have not been observed to carry in complete form any Fidel Castro speech since 28 September,'' the report said.

UNUSUAL FAILURE

''While not without precedent, failure by the media in recent weeks to broadcast in their entirety or otherwise disseminate complete texts of the only two speeches known to have been delivered by Fidel Castro during that period is unusual,'' it added.

In another interesting omission, the Cuban records also don't include Castro's remarks in a Havana suburb June 23, 2001, when he briefly fainted before a stunned crowd.

''That must be deliberate,'' Latell said. "They don't want any reference to it. They just want to erase that from history.''

A Herald search of the Cuban government's database on Castro's speeches also showed that his speeches commemorating July 26, the birth of his revolution, have been getting shorter.

While Castro's July 26 speech in 1999 amounted to 12,310 words, the following year it dropped to 2,159 words. He skipped the speech entirely in 2001, a month after his fainting spell, and delivered only 2,976 words in 2002.

This July 26, on the 50th anniversary of his attack on the Moncada army base in the eastern city of Santiago, his speech totaled 4,983 words.

But none of his recent July 26 speeches was a match for the one he delivered in 1998. That one went on for 23,752 words.

Castro looks to cash in with foreign franchises

By Nancy San Martin, nsanmartin@herald.com. Posted on Fri, Dec. 19, 2003

Cuba is reaching for business abroad, according to a report by the University of Miami's Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies.

Cuban restaurant franchises in Shanghai, Portugal, Milan and Panama. Hotel partnerships in Mexico. A la Cubana bars in Dubai, Paris, Prague and Warsaw. Havana's famous Coppelia ice cream in Malaysia.

These are among the ventures that President Fidel Castro's government has increasingly set up overseas.

Faced with sagging foreign investments at home, Cuba is reaching for business abroad, franchising its popular restaurants, establishing coinvestments in hotels and other ventures and swapping patents and technical expertise in areas such as biotechnology for a 30 to 51 percent ownership stake, according to a report Thursday by the University of Miami's Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies.

The report contends that the foreign projects, which have become more prevalent over the past two years, prove that the current economic climate in Cuba is no longer attractive for many firms, even those owned by the Cuban state itself.

CASH-STRAPPED

''Cuban investments abroad are growing in importance for the critically cash-strapped Castro regime,'' the report states.

"With more than 20 percent of [foreign direct investment] now directed toward business activities and joint ventures outside of Cuba, and a negligible net inflow of foreign capital within the island itself, Cuba's state-owned enterprises have realized that they too can obtain a better return on investment elsewhere.''

The UM report cites a drop in joint foreign-Cuban ventures on the island, from 403 last year to 360 at the end of October. Of the 24 new joint ventures authorized by Havana in 2002, 10 were outside Cuba. Overall, of the 360 joint ventures in operation this year, 80 are reportedly based on foreign soil, according to the report.

''It's been increasingly more lucrative for Cuban businesses to go abroad,'' said Hans de Salas del Valle, a research associate at UM's Cuban institute who compiled the report. "Now the Cuban government is officially encouraging its own companies to go outside of Cuba where conditions are more conducive for business.''

HOTEL PARTNERS

Among the state enterprises joining forces with foreign partners in overseas markets is Cubanacán, Cuba's largest state-run tourism enterprise.

It has managing partnership arrangements with at least three hotels in Mexico, the report said.

In China, Cubanacán has joint ownership in a five-star hotel under construction in Shanghai. Chinese investors also paired up with Cuba's Palmares corporation to open the first La Gloria Cubana restaurant franchise in Shanghai earlier this year. Other franchises exist in Portugal, Italy and Panama.

Havana's famed La Bodeguita del Medio, one of the watering holes that writer Ernest Hemingway made famous for its mojito cocktails, has been replicated in Mexico, Dubai, Paris, Prague and Warsaw.

JOINT VENTURES

In the biotechnology field, Cuba has joint ventures with Iran and more recently signed an agreement with Namibia for a pharmaceutical plant, the report said. John Kavulich, who monitors Cuba's economy, agrees that a new trend is emerging with the Cuban foreign ventures.

But he cautioned that most of the new businesses are in developing countries, a risky move in his eyes.

''Cuba is seeking to use its political [influence], especially with developing countries, to gain market access,'' said Kavulich, president of U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic Council in New York.

'The question is, 'Can they compete once the global companies decide to enter the same market?' '' he added. "Are these ventures sustainable?''

Read the UM report on Cuba

Port agrees to enhance shipping ties with Cuba

From Herald Staff and Wire Services. Posted on Sun, Dec. 21, 2003.

The Manatee County Port Authority approved an agreement last week between Port Manatee and Cuba to find ways to increase shipments to the island nation.

But the approval came only after port officials stripped the agreement of a 44-word sentence that has been criticized in Tallahassee and castigated in Washington, the Bradenton Herald reported.

Critics have said the sentence, crafted in Havana during port officials' visit there, required the port to actively oppose the U.S. trade embargo against the communist nation.

The controversial sentence stated: ``The parties renewed their mutual interest and intention to work toward free and unrestricted travel and trade relations between Cuba and the U.S. in the benefit of enhanced American purchases by [Cuba's import agency] and consequently increased business for the Port of Manatee and Tampa Bay.''

Members of the state's Hispanic Republican caucus, calling the sentence ''troubling,'' have discussed seeking legislation that would require Port Manatee and others who sign similar agreements to register as a lobbyist of a terrorist state, according to Rep. David Rivera, a Miami-Dade Republican who is Cuban American.

The deletion of the sentence was the only major change to the proposed agreement.



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