CUBA NEWS
March 15, 2005
 

CUBA NEWS
The Miami Herald

Cubans will unite to resist U.S.-style change, Castro's brother vows

A defiant Cuban Defense Minister Raul Castro declared that Cubans will form a 'monolithic block' against efforts to bring U.S.-style political and social change to Cuba.

By Vanessa Arrington, Associated Press. Posted on Sun, Mar. 13, 2005.

HAVANA - Demonstrating communist Cuba's defiance of societal divisions as it takes back state control, Defense Minister Raul Castro said in remarks published Saturday that Cubans form a ''monolithic block'' that will resist attempts to push the island toward political and economic change.

Castro, who is the designated successor to his brother, President Fidel Castro, spoke Friday at a ceremony in eastern Cuba to pay homage to combatants of Frank Pais Eastern Front II who died in the Cuban revolution.

'In these times of growing threats and aggressive charlatanry about 'transitions' and the 'restoration of capitalism,' it is opportune to remind those staying up all night [plotting] that the people, the army, and the party form an invincible monolithic block,'' Castro said in remarks published in Granma, the Communist Party's daily newspaper.

That unity is what has protected the island from decades of aggressions by the United States, ''the mightiest imperialist power,'' he said.

''Our people have shown they know how to confront and defeat powerful enemies,'' he added.

The United States has a long-standing trade embargo against Cuba that has been repeatedly tightened by the administration of President Bush in attempts to squeeze the island's economy and push out Fidel Castro.

Washington also has a blueprint that outlines the role the United States could play in a transitional, post-Castro Cuba. Dissidents on the island are working on projects as well to prompt political and economic change on the island.

The defense minister defended Cuba's current system and said there was no reason for change. ''Our socialism is infinitely more democratic, just, equitable, humane and supportive than the fierce imperialism planted in the brutal and scrambled North, more dangerous now than ever,'' Castro said.

He accused the Bush administration of using money, war and falsehoods in a quest to "take possession of the world.''

Castro's remarks come as Cuba is reasserting state control over the nation's economy with moves including last fall's elimination of the U.S. dollar from circulation and tighter limits on private sector workers.

Castro opponent says his life was threatened

The founder of Brothers to the Rescue said the Cuban government threatened his life his last month in a message broadcast on television.

By Elaine D, Valle. edevalle@herald.com. Posted on Sat, Mar. 12, 2005.

Brothers to the Rescue founder José Basulto, a longtime opponent of Cuban President Fidel Castro, said Friday that he had complained to the FBI about what he said was a death threat from the Cuban government.

The alleged threat came last month on the Cuban television program Mesa Redonda Informativa. The program was taped and aired locally by Miami Spanish-language station WJAN Channel 41.

On the program, which was aired on the anniversary of the 1996 shootdown of Brothers to the Rescue planes, a panelist said: "Impunity won't be eternal, José Basulto Leon. Even though the White House accepts you as a son, be careful, like a hunter of terror, that your own arrow doesn't kill you.''

'NOTHING ACTIONABLE'

Basulto -- who had a lunchtime news conference at Versailles restaurant Friday -- takes the comments seriously. ''It is well known that there are many Castro operatives working under the direct control of the Cuban Intelligence in the U.S.,'' he said.

FBI spokeswoman Judy Orihuela said the Miami FBI office was aware of the comments on Cuban TV.

''There's nothing actionable,'' Orihuela told The Herald. "We're aware of it, but we don't have any information, based on our sources, of an actual threat.''

Basulto told The Herald that he would not hire bodyguards or tighten security.

''The only thing I can do to increase my security is to make it public, so that everyone knows if something happens to me, who is responsible,'' he said.

''The important thing is to see the reaction of the Cuban government to our actions,'' he said, referring to the group's efforts to have Fidel Castro and his brother, Raúl, indicted on murder charges for the 1996 shootdown.

In February 1996, three Brothers to the Rescue planes had set out on a humanitarian search-and-rescue mission for Cuban rafters on international waters in the Florida Straits. They were close to Cuban airspace when two were shot down without warning.

TELEVISED WARNING?

Maria Fernanda Silva, a journalist on Channel 41, said the comment did seem like a veiled threat because the commentator was directing himself at Basulto.

''First they said he was the cause of the shootdown because he had violated Cuban airspace,'' Silva told The Herald on Friday. "The end seems like some sort of warning.''

Exile activist Orlando Gutierrez -- national secretary of the Cuban Democratic Directorate, which works with opposition leaders on the island -- said he, too, thought it was a death threat.

''This regime has a long history of killing its opponents and a long history having a very sophisticated spy network outside of Cuba,'' he said, noting the spies who were recently tried and convicted in Miami federal court.

"There have been too many mysterious deaths of anti-Castro activists outside Cuba and I think he is right to be worried.''

Exile group may visit Cuba

The Cuban American National Foundation is encouraging its directors and other exiles to travel to Cuba in May to show solidarity with dissidents. A U.S. government official supports the idea.

By Oscar Corral. ocorral@herald.com. Posted on Fri, Mar. 11, 2005.

For the first time, the Cuban American National Foundation is encouraging its directors to travel to Cuba -- to participate in a meeting of dissidents, diplomats and journalists in Havana in May.

CANF is urging other Cuban exile organizations to do the same in a show of solidarity with Cuba's budding dissident movement. But its request was immediately rejected by CANF's archrival, the more conservative Cuban Liberty Council.

CANF's declaration came in response to an invitation from dissidents planning the Assembly to Promote Civil Society on May 20.

''There will be a presence of directors and members of the foundation there,'' CANF Chairman Jorge Mas Santos said Thursday. "We think it's an opportune time.''

The dissidents' invitation, dated Feb. 25, is from Felix Antonio Bonne Carcasses, Rene de Jesús Gomez Manzano and Martha Beatriz Roque Cabello, three well-known pro-democracy activists on the island.

''This event will mark the turning point for the work that all the member entities in our coalition -- more than 350 -- are doing to help organize the development of a civil society in our country,'' the dissidents wrote.

In the past, CANF directors who wanted to travel to Cuba had to resign from the foundation on principle and for security reasons. Thursday's announcement is the latest shift at a foundation that drove an especially hard line under founder Jorge Mas Canosa, but has more recently come under fire from mostly Republican critics for softening its approach toward Castro.

The assembly is set to occur in a period of communist retrenchment in Cuba and has not been sanctioned by the Cuban government. Some skeptics believe Cuban President Fidel Castro will never allow it to take place. But already, the assembly has received broad international support and attention, and stopping it abruptly would further tarnish Cuba's human rights record.

MIGHT BE REJECTED

Even if Cuban Americans receive a license from the U.S. government to travel to the meeting, the Cuban government can deny them entry.

However, Mas Santos said CANF directors will find ways to get to the island without challenging current travel restrictions and without breaking U.S. law.

For example, current law allows U.S. citizens to travel to Cuba to visit family only once every three years. Most foundation members have not been to Cuba in the past three years, so they can probably get a license to travel there rather easily. Several CANF directors and executive committee members live in other countries, which would make it easier for them to go.

CANF has a license from the U.S. Treasury Department to send humanitarian aid to the island and may be able to use that license to send representatives to the meeting for ''humanitarian'' reasons.

U.S. Rep. Lincoln Díaz-Balart, R-Miami, said he respects exiles who want to travel to Cuba legally to support the May 20 assembly, as well those who don't want to go out of principle.

A State Department official who spoke on condition of anonymity said the U.S. government encouraged people to legally travel to Cuba to support the conference despite Bush administration initiatives to curtail travel to the island.

The official said that U.S. citizens who apply for a travel license under the context of ''support for the Cuban people'' have a good chance of getting a visa.

'A RIGHT'

''Cubans in Cuba and Cubans in America have a right to encourage democratic change in Cuba,'' the official said.

"Anybody who is undertaking these activities, from my perspective, is doing God's work. From a political perspective, does this make sense? Absolutely.''

At least one other exile group, Democracy Movement, said it plans to send representatives to the meeting. President Ramón Saul Sánchez declined to give details.

. The Cuban Liberty Council said that it rejects the idea of traveling to Cuba for any reason while Castro remains in power. CLC Executive Director Luis Zuñiga said that the council is giving ''economic support'' for the assembly but declined to provide details.

Cuba reinstating economic controls

Cuba is gradually returning to tight state control of its whole economy. Some analysts say it's preparing for a day when Fidel Castro no longer rules.

By Nancy San Martin, nsanmartin@herald.com. Posted on Mon, Mar. 07, 2005.

As Cuban leader Fidel Castro put it recently, the revolution will no longer allow any blandenguería -- wimpiness -- at home to go unpunished.

More and more, the Cuban government is tightening its political and economic controls -- from ordering tourism workers to spy on clients to canceling foreign companies' checkbooks -- in what analysts believe is a campaign largely designed to prepare the island for Castro's eventual death.

''This is a very well thought-out policy. In the long term, it sets up the state for succession,'' said Hans de Salas del Valle, a researcher at the University of Miami's Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies.

''It works like this: They tighten the screws politically, improve the economic situation slightly and, thereby, ensure control'' when Castro passes on, de Salas added. The 78-year-old Castro, who has ruled Cuba for 46 years, has suffered a couple of fainting spells in recent years and a fall in which he shattered a kneecap and broke an arm.

The new restrictions hark back to the Cuba of the 1960s, '70s and '80s, when the central government controlled virtually everything, took a dim view of foreign tourists and investors and outlawed the holding of U.S. dollars.

The end of the Soviet Union's massive subsidies forced Havana to open its economy somewhat in the early 1990s, legalizing the dollar, encouraging foreigners to visit and invest and giving managers of state enterprises more leeway to grow profits.

BENT ON CONTROL

But now Castro is bent on regaining control of a population and government agencies that grew accustomed to a measure of independence -- and on cracking down on the widespread corruption and black-market activities that the economic reforms fueled.

Castro emphasized those points in a recent six-hour speech to economists in which he asserted that the Cuban economy had finally come out of its post-Soviet abyss -- in essence arguing that the 1990s reforms were no longer needed.

The U.S. dollar had been recently ''dishonorably discharged'' from circulation -- shops no longer accept them from Cubans -- and control of the economy was shifting back to the the hands of central government planners where it belongs, Castro said.

Cuba's economic ''motor,'' he added, would be revved up not by open-market reforms but by deals with China and Venezuela -- the former ruled by the Communist Party, the latter by President Hugo Chávez, Castro's top ally and a regional economic powerhouse while oil prices remain high.

In a separate speech to health workers three days later, Castro angrily complained about an increase in the street availability of medicines -- at dollar prices -- that are difficult to find at government-subsidized peso prices.

''Don't let anyone believe that la blandengueria can continue without repercussions,'' Castro said, according to a report by the news agency EFE. "We will not stay with our arms crossed.''

Indeed, Castro has been busy in recent weeks and months putting more controls on his people and his economy.

Effective in mid-February, the Tourism Ministry ordered all workers in the industry to report to state security agents any critical words or actions by their clients, to reject all tips and to avoid personal interaction with foreign visitors -- all to protect the purity of Cuba's socialist values.

At the same time, the Central Bank began requiring prior approval for most foreign exchange transactions. Cuba analysts saw the move as an attempt to increase the government's control of foreign currencies and attack corruption, but predicted it would also slow Cuba's already sluggish international business relations.

A few weeks earlier, all state enterprises were ordered to deposit all the U.S. dollars they obtain -- usually through exports -- into a single government bank account, then request bank permission to withdraw dollars when needed for imports.

Controls on the dollar accounts of foreigners in Cuba were also tightened and some of the checkbooks were withdrawn, apparently to force the foreigners to physically go into the banks to do their business.

FEWER JOINT VENTURES

Insiders say some economic tightening adopted in 2003, and other factors, had led foreigners to shut down many of their companies in Cuba -- all joint investments with the government -- even before the latest round of controls. One report issued in 2004 said the number of active joint ventures had fallen from a high of 585 to 342, but analysts say the number today is now even lower.

In November, U.S. dollars in circulation were replaced with government-created ''convertible pesos'' -- pegged at one-to-one but worthless off the island. The government also slapped a 10 percent fee on converting dollars to pesos.

And in October, the Labor Ministry strengthened its controls over the labor market by halting the issuance of new licenses for about 40 categories of self-employment -- from magician to used-book vendor and funeral wreath maker.

Cubans' ability to work for themselves and not the state, legalized in 1993, at one point allowed up to 209,000 people to earn a living outside some government controls. The number was down to 150,000 last year.

Cuba analysts say the governments is putting aside the sort of small-scale economic reforms that helped it through the 1990s in the belief that the island will be better off if it makes larger deals with the likes of China and Venezuela.

''The investors that Cuba wants now are those that can bolster the state sufficiently in order to sustain political stability,'' said UM's de Salas. "They won't sacrifice the political system for the sake of economic growth. . . . The political system is not negotiable.''

Paolo Spadoni, a University of Florida professor who closely follows Cuba's economy, agreed that Castro is now betting that he can improve the economy by recentralizing the government's controls rather than adopting new reforms.

''The path is clear: recentralization,'' Spadoni said. "It's been incremental with more restrictions and more control.''

But analysts say the new regulations are short-sighted and risk even tougher times ahead for the already struggling nation.

''What they are doing does not make economic sense,'' said St. Thomas University economist María Dolores Espino. "They have decided that what is important is [domestic] efficiency and not the [foreign] markets. The problem is you can't be efficient without the markets.''

''The bottom line is that it looks very bad in the long term,'' Espino added.

But not if Castro cares only about a peaceful assumption of power by his successors once he dies, de Salas said. ''I think where it's all headed is a likely authoritarian succession modeled after China and Vietnam,'' he said. "Time is on the regime's side. All they have to do is stay afloat.''

Herald translator Renato Pérez contributed to this report.


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