CUBA NEWS
February 21, 2006
 

CUBA NEWS
The Miami Herald

The intelligence community has placed Cuba on a watch list of nations facing potential instability

By Pablo Bachelet, pbachelet@MiamiHerald.com. Posted on Tue, Feb. 21, 2006.

WASHINGTON - The U.S. intelligence community has added Cuba to its classified list of nations at risk of instability in about two to five years because of growing concerns over the health of Cuban leader Fidel Castro, U.S. officials have confirmed.

The National Intelligence Council, the community's main center for middle and long range analysis, based at the CIA in Langley, Va., added Cuba to the three-part list during its last biannual update in October, the officials added.

One official said Cuba was added to the list of countries that risk instability in the long term, typically two to five years. The other categories cover countries at risk in the short term, roughly less than six months, and those at risk in the six-month to two-year time frame, added the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because intelligence matters were involved.

Cuba's inclusion in the classified list is the latest evidence that the U.S. intelligence community is growing increasingly concerned over the consequences of Castro's advancing age and apparently deteriorating health after more than four decades of communist rule over the island.

For more than a year, the CIA has been telling U.S. policymakers that the 79-year-old Castro suffers from Parkinson's, a debilitating neurological ailment that could make it harder for him to govern. His brother and designated successor, Raúl, is only five years younger and is widely reported to be a lifelong heavy drinker.

NOT ON VERGE OF CHAOS

Knowledgeable U.S. officials point out that Cuba's inclusion on the NIC list was a signal to U.S. government agencies to start considering their preparations for a post-Castro Cuba, but caution that this does not mean that the island is on the verge of chaos.

''This is not a sudden issue, we're not talking about tomorrow,'' the official said.

"Would there be any instability if Castro passed away, being of old age? That was the question.''

The Cuban interest section in Washington did not return calls seeking comment.

The U.S. officials declined to identify the two dozen or so other nations on the list, first reported by the Financial Times newspaper in London in a little-noticed story in November.

''If you were to take a bunch of people who were familiar with foreign affairs, you'd pretty much come up with the same list,'' said Melanie Anderton, a spokeswoman for the State Department's new Office of the Coordinator for Reconstruction and Stabilization.

CONTINGENCY PLAN

CRS uses the NIC list to help set its own priorities, contact other U.S. government agencies and plan for contingencies, Anderton said. The office seeks to harness the government's foreign crisis management capabilities in one place, with an eye to avoid the planning missteps that marked post-war Iraq.

CRS has been helping to coordinate the new round of planning meetings of the interagency Commission for Assistance to a Free Cuba, the Bush administration's main vehicle for setting its policy on Cuba.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice reconvened the Commission in December under orders to produce a report in May focusing on the first 18 months after Castro dies and on finding ways to hasten the end of the Castro government.

This is the second time the commission is being convened.

A similar report in 2004 led to tougher U.S. sanctions against Cuba, including restricting Cuban-American family visits to the island.

Earlier this month, the University of Miami's Institute for Cuban and Cuban American Studies staged a mock first meeting of Cuban leaders after Castro's death to explore what kinds of decisions they might make.

'BE PREPARED'

And former Polish President and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Lech Walesa recently urged a gathering in Miami last week to ''be prepared'' for the transition with "well-structured ideas of what to do, because there could be anarchy.''

Mark Schneider, a former official with the U.S. Agency for International Development, said the NIC watch list has been circulating for at least a decade, known informally as the "yellow light list.''

Schneider is now the senior vice president with the International Crisis Group, the London-based organization that lists 78 countries and regions as prone to violent flare-ups.

The ICG list does not include Cuba, Schneider said, because ''ours is much more short-term in nature'' and "focusing on deadly violence.''

U.S., hotel chain discuss handling Cuba sanctions

The State and Treasury departments and a U.S. hotel chain discussed the recent eviction of Cubans from a U.S.-owned hotel in Mexico.

By Pablo Bachelet, pbachelet@MiamiHerald.com. Posted on Sat, Feb. 18, 2006.

WASHINGTON - The Bush administration is reviewing the way it implements economic sanctions against Cuba after a U.S.-owned hotel in Mexico ejected a Cuban delegation from its premises and triggered a diplomatic row, officials confirmed Friday.

Representatives from the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control, the State Department and the Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide met to discuss Cuban sanctions on Friday.

The meeting came a day after Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice told a House panel that ''dislocations'' caused by the sanctions would be looked at.

She said the administration is seeking to enforce policies more effectively to ensure that the communist government of Cuban leader Fidel Castro is "not capable of replicating itself later on.''

'DISLOCATIONS'

''Where there are dysfunctions or dislocations, of course, we have to go and we have to look to see what some of the actual impact is,'' she said, noting that she had discussed the incident during a meeting with the Mexican foreign minister earlier this week.

Friday's meeting with hotel representatives was the first formal meeting since the Feb. 3 incident, when Treasury warned Starwood that it may have broken U.S. laws by housing a 16-member Cuban delegation attending an energy conference in its Sheraton María Isabel hotel in Mexico City.

The hotel management decided to evict the Cubans and the conference continued at another hotel. The Mexican government launched an investigation and may fine the hotel $500,000 for breaking anti-discrimination laws.

''I can confirm that various elements in the State Department have spoken with Treasury, including OFAC representatives, about the Sheraton incident,'' a State Department official said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue. The official said the group talked about the ''implementing policy'' of the sanctions.

The meeting was attended by officials from the State Department's Western Hemisphere bureau, the legal department and the economics bureau. Starwood declined to comment.

RECONSIDERING

The meeting provided further evidence that the Bush administration is reconsidering its decision to expand the enforcement of the Cuban embargo to include smaller transactions, like hotel bookings.

U.S. companies are prohibited from knowingly selling goods and services to Cuban nationals anywhere in the world without obtaining a license first, but the laws are rarely enforced.

A gift for Cuba

Posted on Tue, Feb. 21, 2006.

Belgian cycling legend Eddy Merckx on Monday gave one of his signature bicycles to Fidel Castro, lamenting only that he did not get the chance to present it personally to the Cuban president.

Merckx presented the blue Eddy Merckx brand bike to Vice President Jose Ramon Fernandez, president of the Cuban Olympic Committee.

Merckx was winding up a two-day trip to the island, where he donated 1,000 of his bicycles to doctors who work in the easternmost province of Guantanamo, as well as to Cuban cyclists.

''It makes me proud to be the sponsor of a project like this,'' Merckx said. ''Sports can bring nations closer and can be a great learning experience in life.''

Merckx, 61, participated in the last run of the international Vuelta, a Cuba cycling competition that ended on the island Sunday.

Merckx, a five-time winner of the Tour de France, said he was not worried about the future of the sport with the upcoming retirement of Lance Armstrong.

''Cycling will go on and other names will emerge,'' Merckx said.

Utley awaits WBC

Chase Utley is ready to get some clutch hits much earlier than usual.

The Philadelphia Phillies second baseman is playing for the United States in next month's inaugural World Baseball Classic.

''I'm more excited than anything just to be around those guys, guys who are winners and are very successful,'' Utley said Sunday at Clearwater. ''It will only help. They're winners. They've won batting titles.''

Despite not having become the regular starter until June, Utley hit .291 with 28 homers and 105 RBI in his first full season with the Phillies last year. He's the only Phillies player on Team USA. Shortstop Jimmy Rollins and right-hander Brett Myers made the provisional roster but weren't selected for the final 30-man squad.

Keeping with theme

If customers don't know Eddie George's jersey number before they visit his new restaurant, they will by the time they leave.

The former Ohio State and Tennessee Titans running back was No. 27. His restaurant is named Eddie George's Grill 27.

But it doesn't stop there. The bar is set at a 27-degree angle from High Street. The drink menu will feature 27 draft beers, 27 wines and 27 specialty drinks.

And the menu offers a 27-ounce porterhouse steak.

The restaurant is scheduled to open Friday near Ohio State, following invitation-only events scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday.

The $2 million restaurant seats 200 in its dining area and bar and has 41 flat-screen TVs, some in individual booths.

The freedom fliers, 40 years later

First passenger list now a piece of history

By Luisa Yanez, lyanez@MiamiHerald.com. Posted on Sat, Feb. 18, 2006.

José Anorga has taken many flights in his 67 years. But only one dramatically changed his life: the one he took Dec. 1, 1965.

Anorga was onboard the inaugural Freedom Flight from Cuba to Miami -- a flight that launched a U.S.-sponsored airlift that would give a new life in exile to some 260,000 refugees.

''You never forget a flight that takes you away from your country. That's a sad day,'' said Anorga, of Hollywood, who made the journey on that Pan American plane with his pregnant wife, Rebeca, and their infant daughter. "From then on, our lives were different.''

That now-historic flight is credited with opening the floodgates to the first continuous, legal wave of Cuban refugees, a steady flow that would change Miami and help build up Little Havana and the Cuban exile community. The twice-a-week flights ended in 1973.

Now, a piece of that exodus has resurfaced, offering a glimpse of the times.

This month, the Historical Museum of Southern Florida acquired the passenger list for that first Freedom Flight. An anonymous donor made the gift.

''Its historical value is wonderful,'' said Dawn Hugh, the museum's archives manager, of the donation. "We're very happy to get it.''

The Freedom Flights were the result of a deal struck by President Lyndon B. Johnson with Cuba in late 1965 to end an illegal boatlift from the Cuban port of Camarioca.

Don't escape Fidel Castro on boats, come on planes, the U.S. told the Cubans. And they did.

That first list of freedom fliers had 82 names, although only 75 landed at Miami International Airport that chilly Wednesday morning in December.

News accounts show the refugees wearing their Sunday best and carrying all their worldly belongings in suitcases. As they climbed out of the plane, they were engulfed by a sea of relatives and reporters. Yellow buses then took them to Opa-locka Airport for processing.

The existence of such a list leads to the question: What became of that first group of Cubans? How did they fare in the U.S.?

The Anorgas and the other Cubans were hurled into a foreign country with little warning. Anorga said he was notified by Cuban militia that he was leaving the night before he flew out. "One day I had my life there, the next I was here.''

The passenger list now at the museum was part of a news release issued by the U.S. Cuban Refugee Center, housed at the Freedom Tower in downtown Miami. The eight-page release groups the refugees into family units, gives their year of birth and the name and address of the relative in the U.S. who would take them in.

Anorga remained in Miami with his brother. He landed a job at a Hialeah factory, struggled, raised a family and is now retired. He still treasures a photograph of his arrival at MIA that appeared in a magazine. ''Me and my wife, we look so young,'' he said.

Other refugees that day were headed for places like New Jersey, California and Illinois to reunite with relatives.

In honor of the 40th anniversary of the first Freedom Flight, The Miami Herald is trying to locate others who were on board Flight #1.

Today, The Miami Herald is publishing the names and year of birth of the refugees on Flight #1 as they appeared on the embarkation list. The entire document can be viewed at MiamiHerald.com. under Today's Extras.

If you were on board that flight or know someone on the list, contact Luisa Yanez at lyanez@MiamiHerald.com or at 305-376-4627.


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