CUBA NEWS
May 21, 2004

To free Cuba, support Venezuelan referendum

By Diego E. Arria. Posted on Thu, May 20, 2004 in The Miami Herald.

The best way to hasten democracy in Cuba is not by increasing ineffective economic sanctions. It's by helping Venezuela to regain its own democracy, which is being stolen bit by bit by Hugo Chávez, Venezuela's increasingly dictatorial president.

Chávez currently provides his ally and mentor Fidel Castro with about 100,000 barrels per day of essentially free oil. It's difficult to see how Castro could deal with a sudden cut-off of that oil flow. The depth of the relationship between the old dictator and his Venezuelan admirer is the reason why both will go to any length to keep Chávez in power. That includes quashing the present attempt to get rid of Chávez by holding a recall referendum. The Sandinista experience in Nicaragua of holding -- and losing -- elections is a lesson for the Caribbean duo. Both know that a free election in Venezuela could kill two birds with one stone.

Who could have imagined that the Castro regime would end up in control of Venezuela without firing a single shot almost 50 years after the democratic government of Rómulo Betancourt defeated a Cuban-backed insurgency by Venezuelan communists?

For sure, not Castro. Not even in his wildest dreams could he have expected such a turn of events. Now, in the final years of his life, Venezuela's oil wealth is Castro's for the taking. Thousands of Cuban military and intelligence officers are garrisoned in Venezuela, directing the so-called Bolivarian Revolution. Meanwhile, thousands of young Venezuelans are been indoctrinated in Cuba. Castro's ambassador in Caracas is more influential than Chávez's own ministers; and none other than Chávez's brother is Venezuela's ambassador to Cuba, while Chávez consults Castro daily. Thanks to Chávez, Cuba is no longer a solitary island in the Caribbean; its revolution now is anchored in the continent.

Should not the United States and democratic Latin American countries be concerned with the emergence of the Castro-Chávez alliance? The wily, time-tested Cuban political strategist and his pupil are armed today with the huge resources of Venezuelan oil. This new ''special relationship,'' which replaces the old Soviet-Cuba one, has been forged when there is an enormous potential for unrest in Latin America. Indeed, Chávez has opened wide Venezuela's doors to every type of subversion coming from Cuba or terrorist-controlled areas of Colombia. The Caribbean has become a Bermuda Triangle of security where an unholy alliance of Cuba, Venezuela and that part of Colombia controlled by terrorists and financed by oil and drugs, represents a major threat to international peace and security.

Maybe someday the Organization of American States will address Venezuela's subversion of peace and trampling of the principles of the Democratic Charter of the Americas. But I fear that the OAS will take no action against the Chávez regime. For a long time now, many of Venezuela's Latin American neighbors have been living in denial, watching indifferently as Venezuela sheds its democracy and turns into an authoritarian state. Meanwhile Chávez has successfully used Venezuela's oil to buy the support of a large voting block within the organization.

More than ever, Venezuela's oil has become its curse. Chávez grants to a few U.S. oil companies exceptionally advantageous terms to do business in Venezuela. They, in turn, have reciprocated his largesse by lobbying strongly in Washington in Chávez's favor. The result: The authoritarian Chávez enjoys enormous latitude regardless of his well-known hostility toward the United States and his alliance with Castro.

An eerie prediction

Forty-one years ago, Blas Roca, the Cuban Communist Party leader, eerily foretold the importance of Venezuela for the Cuban regime. ''When the people of Venezuela are victorious, when they get their total independence from imperialism, then all of the Americas will be aflame, all of the Americas will push forward, all of the Americas will be liberated once and for all from the ominous yoke of U.S. imperialism,'' Roca told a meeting of Latin American communists parties in Havana on Jan. 24, 1963. "Their fight helps us today, and their victory will mean a tremendous boost for us. We no longer will be a solitary island of the Caribbean facing the Yankee imperialists, for we will have land support on the continent.''

Diego E. Arria is a visiting scholar at Columbia University and Venezuela's former U.N. ambassador.


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